Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.004070 0.004275 0.004485 0.004716 0.004965 0.005225 0.005518
2025-11-16 0.003696 0.003994 0.004314 0.004681 0.005095 0.005548 0.006083
2025-11-23 0.003472 0.003826 0.004214 0.004674 0.005209 0.005815 0.006559
2025-11-30 0.003266 0.003651 0.004083 0.004608 0.005232 0.005960 0.006881
2025-12-07 0.003102 0.003510 0.003976 0.004553 0.005255 0.006093 0.007184
2025-12-14 0.002986 0.003417 0.003916 0.004545 0.005327 0.006280 0.007554
2025-12-21 0.002821 0.003254 0.003764 0.004414 0.005235 0.006255 0.007646
2025-12-28 0.002744 0.003195 0.003731 0.004426 0.005319 0.006450 0.008029
2026-01-04 0.002693 0.003162 0.003728 0.004472 0.005445 0.006702 0.008499
2026-01-11 0.002610 0.003087 0.003668 0.004443 0.005469 0.006817 0.008785
2026-01-18 0.002544 0.003030 0.003628 0.004434 0.005518 0.006966 0.009122
2026-01-25 0.002471 0.002961 0.003569 0.004398 0.005527 0.007058 0.009381
2026-02-01 0.002446 0.002953 0.003589 0.004468 0.005683 0.007363 0.009973
2026-02-08 0.002379 0.002888 0.003534 0.004434 0.005694 0.007462 0.010262
2026-02-15 0.002328 0.002842 0.003500 0.004427 0.005742 0.007615 0.010640
2026-02-22 0.002258 0.002770 0.003429 0.004365 0.005708 0.007644 0.010821
2026-03-01 0.002196 0.002706 0.003368 0.004315 0.005686 0.007689 0.011031
2026-03-08 0.002154 0.002668 0.003338 0.004308 0.005727 0.007829 0.011402
2026-03-15 0.002072 0.002573 0.003231 0.004186 0.005594 0.007696 0.011308
2026-03-22 0.002042 0.002548 0.003217 0.004197 0.005658 0.007871 0.011745
2026-03-29 0.002024 0.002539 0.003225 0.004240 0.005772 0.008127 0.012339
2026-04-05 0.001983 0.002497 0.003186 0.004212 0.005776 0.008208 0.012628
2026-04-12 0.001950 0.002466 0.003161 0.004204 0.005809 0.008338 0.013011